2024 Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024, 11:30 PM · Bank of America Stadium (neutral site)

Tennessee @ NC State

Predicted scoreLikely

Tennessee

35.4

NC State

20.0

NC State win probability: 17%

Margin (NC State − Tennessee): -15.4 (80% range -35 to 5)

Total: 55.4 (80% range 33 to 80)

Actual: Tennessee 51 – NC State 10 (margin error 25.6, total error 5.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.