Predicted scoreLean
Tennessee
29.9
Kentucky
21.8
Kentucky win probability: 30%
Margin (Kentucky − Tennessee): -8.1 (80% range -28 to 12)
Total: 51.7 (80% range 29 to 76)
Actual: Tennessee 33 – Kentucky 27 (margin error 2.1, total error 8.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.