2023 Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023, 10:00 PM · University Stadium (NM)

Hawai'i @ New Mexico

Predicted scoreToss-up

Hawai'i

31.5

New Mexico

30.3

New Mexico win probability: 47%

Margin (New Mexico − Hawai'i): -1.2 (80% range -22 to 20)

Total: 61.8 (80% range 37 to 88)

Actual: Hawai'i 21 – New Mexico 42 (margin error 22.2, total error 1.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.