Predicted scoreLean
Troy
25.6
Army
18.4
Army win probability: 32%
Margin (Army − Troy): -7.3 (80% range -27 to 11)
Total: 44.0 (80% range 24 to 66)
Actual: Troy 19 – Army 0 (margin error 11.7, total error 25.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.88% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.85% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.83% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.83% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.81% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.