Predicted scoreConfident
Hawai'i
13.9
Oregon
47.4
Oregon win probability: 98%
Margin (Oregon − Hawai'i): 33.4 (80% range 12 to 56)
Total: 61.3 (80% range 38 to 87)
Actual: Hawai'i 10 – Oregon 55 (margin error 11.6, total error 3.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 45 | 0.84% |
| 10 | 42 | 0.81% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.80% |
| 7 | 49 | 0.78% |
| 7 | 42 | 0.78% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.