2024 Postseason · Dec 20, 2024, 5:00 PM · Camping World Stadium (neutral site)

Ohio @ Jacksonville State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Ohio

24.9

Jacksonville State

25.3

Jacksonville State win probability: 51%

Margin (Jacksonville State − Ohio): 0.4 (80% range -20 to 21)

Total: 50.2 (80% range 27 to 74)

Actual: Ohio 30 – Jacksonville State 27 (margin error 3.4, total error 6.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.