Predicted scoreLikely
Stanford
33.0
Hawai'i
19.6
Hawai'i win probability: 20%
Margin (Hawai'i − Stanford): -13.4 (80% range -34 to 7)
Total: 52.7 (80% range 30 to 77)
Actual: Stanford 37 – Hawai'i 24 (margin error 0.4, total error 8.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 14 | 0.85% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.