2023 Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023, 3:00 AM · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

Stanford @ Hawai'i

Predicted scoreLikely

Stanford

33.0

Hawai'i

19.6

Hawai'i win probability: 20%

Margin (Hawai'i − Stanford): -13.4 (80% range -34 to 7)

Total: 52.7 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: Stanford 37 – Hawai'i 24 (margin error 0.4, total error 8.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.