2023 Week 1 · Sep 1, 2023, 11:00 PM · Spartan Stadium
Central Michigan @ Michigan State
Predicted scoreConfident
Central Michigan
17.0
Michigan State
36.3
Michigan State win probability: 89%
Margin (Michigan State − Central Michigan): 19.3 (80% range -1 to 40)
Total: 53.3 (80% range 31 to 77)
Actual: Central Michigan 7 – Michigan State 31 (margin error 4.7, total error 15.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.79% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.