2024 Week 15 · Dec 7, 2024, 12:00 AM · AmFirst Stadium

Western Kentucky @ Jacksonville State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Western Kentucky

26.6

Jacksonville State

30.1

Jacksonville State win probability: 59%

Margin (Jacksonville State − Western Kentucky): 3.6 (80% range -17 to 24)

Total: 56.7 (80% range 33 to 82)

Actual: Western Kentucky 12 – Jacksonville State 52 (margin error 36.4, total error 7.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.