2024 Week 14 · Dec 1, 2024, 4:00 AM · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

New Mexico @ Hawai'i

Predicted scoreToss-up

New Mexico

31.9

Hawai'i

32.2

Hawai'i win probability: 51%

Margin (Hawai'i − New Mexico): 0.3 (80% range -21 to 21)

Total: 64.1 (80% range 38 to 91)

Actual: New Mexico 30 – Hawai'i 38 (margin error 7.7, total error 3.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.