2024 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024, 9:00 PM · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium

Jacksonville State @ Western Kentucky

Predicted scoreToss-up

Jacksonville State

28.5

Western Kentucky

29.1

Western Kentucky win probability: 52%

Margin (Western Kentucky − Jacksonville State): 0.6 (80% range -21 to 21)

Total: 57.6 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Jacksonville State 17 – Western Kentucky 19 (margin error 1.4, total error 21.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.