2024 Week 2 · Sep 7, 2024, 10:00 PM · Pitbull Stadium (neutral site)

Central Michigan @ Florida International

Predicted scoreLikely

Central Michigan

32.0

Florida International

23.2

Florida International win probability: 30%

Margin (Florida International − Central Michigan): -8.8 (80% range -29 to 11)

Total: 55.2 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Central Michigan 16 – Florida International 52 (margin error 44.8, total error 12.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.