2024 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024, 5:00 PM · AmFirst Stadium
Sam Houston @ Jacksonville State
Predicted scoreLean
Sam Houston
23.7
Jacksonville State
29.0
Jacksonville State win probability: 63%
Margin (Jacksonville State − Sam Houston): 5.3 (80% range -15 to 26)
Total: 52.6 (80% range 30 to 77)
Actual: Sam Houston 11 – Jacksonville State 21 (margin error 4.7, total error 20.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.