2024 Week 12 · Nov 17, 2024, 12:30 AM · Camp Randall Stadium

Oregon @ Wisconsin

Predicted scoreLean

Oregon

31.3

Wisconsin

23.0

Wisconsin win probability: 30%

Margin (Wisconsin − Oregon): -8.4 (80% range -28 to 11)

Total: 54.3 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Oregon 16 – Wisconsin 13 (margin error 5.4, total error 25.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.