2024 Week 12 · Nov 17, 2024, 12:00 AM · CEFCU Stadium
Boise State @ San José State
Predicted scoreLean
Boise State
33.3
San José State
25.5
San José State win probability: 32%
Margin (San José State − Boise State): -7.8 (80% range -28 to 13)
Total: 58.8 (80% range 34 to 84)
Actual: Boise State 42 – San José State 21 (margin error 13.2, total error 4.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.