2024 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024, 7:00 PM · AmFirst Stadium

Florida International @ Jacksonville State

Predicted scoreLikely

Florida International

19.8

Jacksonville State

31.1

Jacksonville State win probability: 76%

Margin (Jacksonville State − Florida International): 11.4 (80% range -8 to 32)

Total: 50.9 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Florida International 31 – Jacksonville State 34 (margin error 8.4, total error 14.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.