Predicted scoreToss-up
Wisconsin
21.4
Iowa
21.8
Iowa win probability: 50%
Margin (Iowa − Wisconsin): 0.3 (80% range -18 to 20)
Total: 43.2 (80% range 23 to 65)
Actual: Wisconsin 10 – Iowa 42 (margin error 31.7, total error 8.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.83% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.82% |
| 14 | 14 | 0.79% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.