2024 Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024, 12:00 AM · Albertsons Stadium

San Diego State @ Boise State

Predicted scoreConfident

San Diego State

16.8

Boise State

35.4

Boise State win probability: 88%

Margin (Boise State − San Diego State): 18.7 (80% range -1 to 39)

Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: San Diego State 24 – Boise State 56 (margin error 13.3, total error 27.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.