2024 Week 9 · Oct 22, 2024, 11:30 PM · Pitbull Stadium (neutral site)

Sam Houston @ Florida International

Predicted scoreLikely

Sam Houston

27.4

Florida International

18.8

Florida International win probability: 29%

Margin (Florida International − Sam Houston): -8.6 (80% range -28 to 11)

Total: 46.1 (80% range 24 to 69)

Actual: Sam Houston 10 – Florida International 7 (margin error 5.6, total error 29.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.