2024 Week 9 · Oct 22, 2024, 11:30 PM · Pitbull Stadium (neutral site)
Sam Houston @ Florida International
Predicted scoreLikely
Sam Houston
27.4
Florida International
18.8
Florida International win probability: 29%
Margin (Florida International − Sam Houston): -8.6 (80% range -28 to 11)
Total: 46.1 (80% range 24 to 69)
Actual: Sam Houston 10 – Florida International 7 (margin error 5.6, total error 29.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.86% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.83% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.79% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.79% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.79% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.