2024 Week 8 · Oct 17, 2024, 11:00 PM · Joan C. Edwards Stadium

Georgia State @ Marshall

Predicted scoreLean

Georgia State

23.2

Marshall

28.9

Marshall win probability: 64%

Margin (Marshall − Georgia State): 5.6 (80% range -14 to 25)

Total: 52.1 (80% range 29 to 76)

Actual: Georgia State 20 – Marshall 35 (margin error 9.4, total error 2.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.