2024 Week 8 · Oct 16, 2024, 11:00 PM · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium

Western Kentucky @ Sam Houston

Predicted scoreToss-up

Western Kentucky

24.6

Sam Houston

24.9

Sam Houston win probability: 51%

Margin (Sam Houston − Western Kentucky): 0.3 (80% range -20 to 21)

Total: 49.6 (80% range 27 to 73)

Actual: Western Kentucky 31 – Sam Houston 14 (margin error 17.3, total error 4.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.