2024 Week 7 · Oct 13, 2024, 3:00 AM · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

Boise State @ Hawai'i

Predicted scoreLikely

Boise State

38.0

Hawai'i

22.0

Hawai'i win probability: 16%

Margin (Hawai'i − Boise State): -16.0 (80% range -38 to 4)

Total: 60.0 (80% range 35 to 86)

Actual: Boise State 28 – Hawai'i 7 (margin error 5.0, total error 25.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.