2024 Week 7 · Oct 13, 2024, 3:00 AM · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Boise State @ Hawai'i
Predicted scoreLikely
Boise State
38.0
Hawai'i
22.0
Hawai'i win probability: 16%
Margin (Hawai'i − Boise State): -16.0 (80% range -38 to 4)
Total: 60.0 (80% range 35 to 86)
Actual: Boise State 28 – Hawai'i 7 (margin error 5.0, total error 25.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 38 | 14 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.