2024 Week 6 · Oct 6, 2024, 12:00 AM · Snapdragon Stadium
Hawai'i @ San Diego State
Predicted scoreLean
Hawai'i
21.7
San Diego State
28.1
San Diego State win probability: 66%
Margin (San Diego State − Hawai'i): 6.4 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 49.9 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Hawai'i 24 – San Diego State 27 (margin error 3.4, total error 1.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.89% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.75% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.74% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.