2024 Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024, 11:00 PM · Bryant-Denny Stadium

Western Kentucky @ Alabama

Predicted scoreConfident

Western Kentucky

13.2

Alabama

39.9

Alabama win probability: 96%

Margin (Alabama − Western Kentucky): 26.7 (80% range 7 to 48)

Total: 53.1 (80% range 31 to 76)

Actual: Western Kentucky 0 – Alabama 63 (margin error 36.3, total error 9.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.