2024 Week 5 · Sep 28, 2024, 11:00 PM · TDECU Stadium
Iowa State @ Houston
Predicted scoreLikely
Iowa State
31.2
Houston
19.0
Houston win probability: 22%
Margin (Houston − Iowa State): -12.1 (80% range -32 to 7)
Total: 50.2 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Iowa State 20 – Houston 0 (margin error 7.9, total error 30.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.82% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.