2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 11:00 PM · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium

Hawai'i @ Sam Houston

Predicted scoreLean

Hawai'i

24.7

Sam Houston

29.4

Sam Houston win probability: 61%

Margin (Sam Houston − Hawai'i): 4.6 (80% range -16 to 25)

Total: 54.1 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Hawai'i 13 – Sam Houston 31 (margin error 13.4, total error 10.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.