2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 8:30 PM · Delaware Stadium
Jacksonville State @ Delaware
Predicted scoreToss-up
Jacksonville State
27.1
Delaware
25.9
Delaware win probability: 47%
Margin (Delaware − Jacksonville State): -1.2 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 52.9 (80% range 30 to 77)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 21 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:13 PM | -2.6 | 55.5 | 43% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:13 PM | -2.6 | 55.5 | 43% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:44 PM | -2.6 | 55.5 | 44% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:51:58 AM | -2.6 | 55.5 | 43% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:06:03 PM | -2.6 | 55.5 | 43% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:05:27 PM | -4.2 | 55.6 | 40% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:59:27 PM | -2.0 | 55.0 | 45% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:01:20 PM | 4.5 | 50.5 | 61% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:57 PM | 4.5 | 50.5 | 61% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:02:14 PM | 4.8 | 50.5 | 62% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:32 PM | 4.8 | 50.5 | 62% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:33 PM | -0.6 | 51.6 | 48% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:50 PM | -0.3 | 51.3 | 49% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:45:11 PM | -0.7 | 52.1 | 48% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:53 PM | -1.2 | 52.9 | 47% |