2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 11:00 PM · Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Washington State @ Texas State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Washington State
28.8
Texas State
29.8
Texas State win probability: 52%
Margin (Texas State − Washington State): 1.0 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 58.6 (80% range 34 to 84)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:54 PM | 1.0 | 58.7 | 52% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:56 PM | 0.9 | 58.7 | 52% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:55 PM | 1.0 | 58.6 | 52% |