2024 Week 3 · Sep 14, 2024, 4:00 PM · Carter-Finley Stadium

Louisiana Tech @ NC State

Predicted scoreLikely

Louisiana Tech

18.0

NC State

33.7

NC State win probability: 84%

Margin (NC State − Louisiana Tech): 15.7 (80% range -4 to 36)

Total: 51.6 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Louisiana Tech 20 – NC State 30 (margin error 5.7, total error 1.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.