2026 Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026, 5:00 AM · Lane Stadium
Stanford @ Virginia Tech
Predicted scoreLikely
Stanford
20.1
Virginia Tech
33.0
Virginia Tech win probability: 79%
Margin (Virginia Tech − Stanford): 12.9 (80% range -7 to 34)
Total: 53.1 (80% range 30 to 78)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.82% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:40 PM | 6.4 | 52.1 | 66% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:30 PM | 6.4 | 52.0 | 66% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:54 PM | 6.4 | 52.0 | 66% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:49:48 AM | 6.4 | 52.0 | 66% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:26 PM | 6.4 | 51.9 | 66% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:04:28 PM | 6.4 | 51.5 | 66% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:57:56 PM | 7.7 | 52.7 | 68% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:00:12 PM | 10.8 | 53.9 | 75% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:02 PM | 10.9 | 53.9 | 75% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:15 PM | 10.7 | 53.8 | 75% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:37 PM | 10.7 | 53.8 | 75% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:46 PM | 10.3 | 54.0 | 74% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:57 PM | 12.1 | 53.7 | 77% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:04 PM | 12.5 | 54.6 | 78% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:11 PM | 12.9 | 53.1 | 79% |