2026 Week 6 · Oct 7, 2026, 11:00 PM · Fifth Third Stadium
Jacksonville State @ Kennesaw State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Jacksonville State
26.1
Kennesaw State
26.5
Kennesaw State win probability: 51%
Margin (Kennesaw State − Jacksonville State): 0.4 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 52.5 (80% range 30 to 77)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.67% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:17 PM | 0.4 | 52.5 | 51% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:17 PM | 0.4 | 52.6 | 51% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:57 PM | 0.4 | 52.5 | 51% |