2026 Week 5 · Oct 3, 2026, 4:00 AM · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Stanford @ Wake Forest
Predicted scoreLikely
Stanford
19.5
Wake Forest
29.7
Wake Forest win probability: 74%
Margin (Wake Forest − Stanford): 10.2 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 49.3 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.86% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.85% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 14 | 28 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:12 PM | 10.2 | 49.4 | 74% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:08 PM | 10.2 | 49.3 | 74% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:22 PM | 10.2 | 49.3 | 74% |