2026 Week 4 · Sep 27, 2026, 2:30 AM · Stanford Stadium
Georgia Tech @ Stanford
Predicted scoreToss-up
Georgia Tech
26.3
Stanford
24.3
Stanford win probability: 45%
Margin (Stanford − Georgia Tech): -2.0 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 50.6 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Georgia Tech 27 – Stanford 34 (margin error 9.0, total error 10.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.73% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:54 PM | -5.1 | 51.1 | 37% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:04 PM | -5.5 | 50.8 | 36% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:16 PM | -4.9 | 50.8 | 38% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:45:09 AM | -5.1 | 51.1 | 37% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:02:53 PM | -5.5 | 50.7 | 36% |
| 9/8/2026, 5:59:26 PM | -5.6 | 50.5 | 36% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:53:22 PM | -4.7 | 50.3 | 38% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:56:46 PM | -2.2 | 50.1 | 44% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:38:23 PM | -2.0 | 50.6 | 45% |