2026 Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026, 11:00 PM · AmFirst Stadium
Georgia Southern @ Jacksonville State
Predicted scoreLean
Georgia Southern
26.0
Jacksonville State
30.0
Jacksonville State win probability: 60%
Margin (Jacksonville State − Georgia Southern): 4.0 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 56.1 (80% range 31 to 82)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:34 PM | 4.0 | 56.0 | 60% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:43 PM | 4.1 | 55.9 | 60% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:19 PM | 4.0 | 56.1 | 60% |