2025 Postseason · Dec 31, 2025, 5:00 PM · Raymond James Stadium (neutral site)

Iowa @ Vanderbilt

Predicted scoreToss-up

Iowa

25.9

Vanderbilt

24.8

Vanderbilt win probability: 47%

Margin (Vanderbilt − Iowa): -1.1 (80% range -21 to 19)

Total: 50.7 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Iowa 34 – Vanderbilt 27 (margin error 5.9, total error 10.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.