2025 Postseason · Dec 31, 2025, 5:00 PM · Raymond James Stadium (neutral site)
Iowa @ Vanderbilt
Predicted scoreToss-up
Iowa
25.9
Vanderbilt
24.8
Vanderbilt win probability: 47%
Margin (Vanderbilt − Iowa): -1.1 (80% range -21 to 19)
Total: 50.7 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Iowa 34 – Vanderbilt 27 (margin error 5.9, total error 10.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.