2025 Postseason · Dec 27, 2025, 5:00 PM · Yankee Stadium (neutral site)

Penn State @ Clemson

Predicted scoreLean

Penn State

31.1

Clemson

24.2

Clemson win probability: 33%

Margin (Clemson − Penn State): -6.9 (80% range -28 to 14)

Total: 55.3 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Penn State 22 – Clemson 10 (margin error 5.1, total error 23.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.