2025 Postseason · Dec 27, 2025, 5:00 PM · Yankee Stadium (neutral site)
Penn State @ Clemson
Predicted scoreLean
Penn State
31.1
Clemson
24.2
Clemson win probability: 33%
Margin (Clemson − Penn State): -6.9 (80% range -28 to 14)
Total: 55.3 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Penn State 22 – Clemson 10 (margin error 5.1, total error 23.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.