2025 Week 15 · Dec 6, 2025, 12:00 AM · AmFirst Stadium
Kennesaw State @ Jacksonville State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Kennesaw State
25.7
Jacksonville State
28.8
Jacksonville State win probability: 58%
Margin (Jacksonville State − Kennesaw State): 3.1 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 54.5 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Kennesaw State 19 – Jacksonville State 15 (margin error 7.1, total error 20.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.