2025 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025, 8:30 PM · Amon G. Carter Stadium

Cincinnati @ TCU

Predicted scoreLean

Cincinnati

24.7

TCU

32.7

TCU win probability: 69%

Margin (TCU − Cincinnati): 8.0 (80% range -13 to 28)

Total: 57.3 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Cincinnati 23 – TCU 45 (margin error 14.0, total error 10.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.