2025 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025, 7:00 PM · Plaster Sports Complex

Louisiana Tech @ Missouri State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Louisiana Tech

23.0

Missouri State

24.9

Missouri State win probability: 55%

Margin (Missouri State − Louisiana Tech): 1.9 (80% range -17 to 21)

Total: 48.0 (80% range 27 to 71)

Actual: Louisiana Tech 42 – Missouri State 30 (margin error 13.9, total error 24.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.