2025 Week 14 · Nov 28, 2025, 8:00 PM · Canvas Stadium
Air Force @ Colorado State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Air Force
28.3
Colorado State
29.6
Colorado State win probability: 53%
Margin (Colorado State − Air Force): 1.3 (80% range -19 to 21)
Total: 57.9 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Air Force 42 – Colorado State 21 (margin error 22.3, total error 5.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 28 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.