2025 Week 14 · Nov 28, 2025, 5:00 PM · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)

Iowa @ Nebraska

Predicted scoreLean

Iowa

24.8

Nebraska

19.9

Nebraska win probability: 37%

Margin (Nebraska − Iowa): -4.9 (80% range -24 to 14)

Total: 44.7 (80% range 24 to 67)

Actual: Iowa 40 – Nebraska 16 (margin error 19.1, total error 11.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.