2025 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2025, 12:00 AM · Beaver Stadium
Nebraska @ Penn State
Predicted scoreLean
Nebraska
22.6
Penn State
30.4
Penn State win probability: 69%
Margin (Penn State − Nebraska): 7.8 (80% range -12 to 28)
Total: 53.0 (80% range 30 to 77)
Actual: Nebraska 10 – Penn State 37 (margin error 19.2, total error 6.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.