2025 Week 13 · Nov 22, 2025, 8:30 PM · FirstBank Stadium
Kentucky @ Vanderbilt
Predicted scoreLean
Kentucky
24.9
Vanderbilt
29.5
Vanderbilt win probability: 61%
Margin (Vanderbilt − Kentucky): 4.6 (80% range -15 to 24)
Total: 54.4 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Kentucky 17 – Vanderbilt 45 (margin error 23.4, total error 7.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.82% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.62% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.