Predicted scoreLean
Nevada
19.4
Wyoming
25.2
Wyoming win probability: 65%
Margin (Wyoming − Nevada): 5.7 (80% range -14 to 25)
Total: 44.6 (80% range 24 to 67)
Actual: Nevada 13 – Wyoming 7 (margin error 11.7, total error 24.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.91% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 14 | 0.80% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.