2025 Week 13 · Nov 22, 2025, 7:00 PM · Fifth Third Stadium

Missouri State @ Kennesaw State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Missouri State

24.9

Kennesaw State

24.6

Kennesaw State win probability: 49%

Margin (Kennesaw State − Missouri State): -0.3 (80% range -21 to 20)

Total: 49.5 (80% range 27 to 73)

Actual: Missouri State 34 – Kennesaw State 41 (margin error 7.3, total error 25.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.