Predicted scoreToss-up
TCU
25.5
BYU
27.7
BYU win probability: 56%
Margin (BYU − TCU): 2.2 (80% range -18 to 22)
Total: 53.2 (80% range 31 to 78)
Actual: TCU 13 – BYU 44 (margin error 28.8, total error 3.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.