2025 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2025, 12:00 AM · BBVA Compass Stadium (neutral site)

Delaware @ Sam Houston

Predicted scoreLean

Delaware

29.2

Sam Houston

21.7

Sam Houston win probability: 31%

Margin (Sam Houston − Delaware): -7.5 (80% range -28 to 12)

Total: 50.9 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Delaware 23 – Sam Houston 26 (margin error 10.5, total error 1.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.