2025 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2025, 12:00 AM · BBVA Compass Stadium (neutral site)
Delaware @ Sam Houston
Predicted scoreLean
Delaware
29.2
Sam Houston
21.7
Sam Houston win probability: 31%
Margin (Sam Houston − Delaware): -7.5 (80% range -28 to 12)
Total: 50.9 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Delaware 23 – Sam Houston 26 (margin error 10.5, total error 1.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 14 | 0.76% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.