2025 Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025, 5:00 PM · Scheumann Stadium

Eastern Michigan @ Ball State

Predicted scoreLean

Eastern Michigan

30.3

Ball State

25.8

Ball State win probability: 39%

Margin (Ball State − Eastern Michigan): -4.5 (80% range -25 to 17)

Total: 56.1 (80% range 32 to 81)

Actual: Eastern Michigan 24 – Ball State 9 (margin error 10.5, total error 23.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.