2025 Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025, 5:00 PM · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)

Wisconsin @ Indiana

Predicted scoreConfident

Wisconsin

12.2

Indiana

37.4

Indiana win probability: 95%

Margin (Indiana − Wisconsin): 25.2 (80% range 6 to 46)

Total: 49.6 (80% range 28 to 72)

Actual: Wisconsin 7 – Indiana 31 (margin error 1.2, total error 11.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.