Predicted scoreConfident
Wisconsin
12.2
Indiana
37.4
Indiana win probability: 95%
Margin (Indiana − Wisconsin): 25.2 (80% range 6 to 46)
Total: 49.6 (80% range 28 to 72)
Actual: Wisconsin 7 – Indiana 31 (margin error 1.2, total error 11.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 38 | 1.01% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.91% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.90% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.85% |
| 7 | 35 | 0.83% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.