2025 Week 11 · Nov 9, 2025, 3:00 AM · Reser Stadium
Sam Houston @ Oregon State
Predicted scoreLikely
Sam Houston
21.4
Oregon State
34.5
Oregon State win probability: 80%
Margin (Oregon State − Sam Houston): 13.1 (80% range -7 to 34)
Total: 55.8 (80% range 33 to 80)
Actual: Sam Houston 21 – Oregon State 17 (margin error 17.1, total error 17.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.